Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Atlético Madrid host Rayo Vallecano in this Spanish La Liga encounter at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 03:30 on Thursday 25 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get With Atléti on the Asian Handicap

We’re sweet on Atlético Madrid against Rayo. They’re available at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take odds of 1.82 that the favourites win by two goals or more, with the stake back if they win by one.

On board with our Asian Handicap selection? Unlock today’s Stake promo code and find out how the bookie performs in our in-depth site review before jumping in.

7 Wins for Atléti in Last 9 H2H Encounters

Atlético Madrid played Mallorca on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadi Son Moix. Diego Simeone's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 59% possession and seven shots on target, while Conor Gallagher was the goalscorer.

Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Celta Vigo at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos recorded 59% possession and had five shots on goal, while Jorge de Frutos found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have not lost any of the past nine games against Rayo. In the last clash, Atléti secured a 3-0 win when hosting at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The past 9 H2H meetings have featured seven Atléti wins and two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Atlético Madrid	5	1	3	1	6	5	1	6:5	6
14	Rayo Vallecano	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5:6	5

View Full Table

Atléti have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 59.1% possession, 560.8 passes and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 7.2 attempts and 2.4 corners.

Alexander Soerloth is the top goalscorer with 8, Julian Alvarez has 3, with Conor Gallagher and two other players on 1. Julian Alvarez has the most assists with 3, while goalkeepers Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have recorded 4 clean sheets between them.

Rayo have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.2 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 1.1 goals. Inigo Perez's men average 54.8% possession, 436.0 passes, 6.8 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Jorge de Frutos has scored 4, followed by Alvaro Garcia, Isi Palazon and Florian Lejeune with 2 goals apiece. Isi Palazon has had 2 assists, with Augusto Batalla and Dani Cardenas notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Nico Gonzalez, Julian Alvarez, Giacomo Raspadori.

Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-4-2): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Pathe Ciss, Alfonso Espino, Jorge de Frutos, Pedro Diaz, Oscar Valentin, Alvaro Garcia, Sergio Camello, Isi Palazon.

Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atlético Madrid at -1 on the Asian Handicap looks like an appealing selection. We think that betting odds of 1.82 can be taken with confidence when it comes to this La Liga match.

The latest La Liga injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1 line has been covered by Atléti in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 7 of their last 9 games against Atléti.

Atléti -1 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 54.9% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Our Match Prediction

Stake Promo 200% up to $2000 + 5% Rakeback T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 0 Rayo

There are betting odds of 6.40 that Atléti land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Rayo Over 3.5 Corners

Rayo Vallecano have had over 3.5 corners in six straight matches. There’s an opportunity to go over the Rayo Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of 1.73 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

8.50 6.10 2.40

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

8.20 5.10 3.10

Rayo

Total

11.60 6.80 4.80

Home

11.20 6.80 4.40

Away

10.00 4.60 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Atléti Corners

Rayo Corners

Most Corners

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Atléti Victory

Atlético Madrid are the 1.47 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 68% chance of winning this La Liga encounter according to the latest betting odds. The 6.50 means that Rayo Vallecano are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Atléti are 1.97 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Rayo are 6.10 and the draw is priced at 2.40.

If you want to back how many goals will be scored, you can get a similar price on Under or Over 2.5 Goals. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at 1.79.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every La Liga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Julián Álvarez Favourite to Find the Net First

Julián Álvarez is the First Goalscorer favourite at 3.60. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at 1.95.

Atléti Unbeaten at Home in Past Six Games

Atlético Madrid have avoided defeat in their last six matches at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's side have collected six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Rayo have recorded six defeats and four victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The past meeting at Riyadh Air Metropolitano saw Atléti defeat Rayo 3-0. Aside from one draw, Atléti have dominated the past 4 H2H meetings at Riyadh Air Metropolitano with three victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		6-1-3	3.10	2.20	0.90	5	5	4	6
Rayo Vallecano Away Stats		4-0-6	2.40	1.00	1.40	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Live streaming is available for La Liga games depending on where you are located. Sign into your funded sportsbook account and enjoy the action.

You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.

Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Live Streaming  Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atléti vs Rayo before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups and injury news right here.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Rayo Vallecano Team Page