Southampton vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Stoke

Southampton host Stoke in this Championship match at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 22:00 on Saturday 23 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Side With Potters and a Goals Start

We will go for Stoke +0.75 on the Asian Handicap at a price of 1.84. We will divide our stake equally between +0.5 and +1.0 with some confidence that we can see a win or draw against Southampton.

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Southampton Claimed 3-2 Victory in Last H2H

Southampton drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Ipswich Town at Portman Road. The South Coast side enjoyed 50% possession and had three shots on target, with Jay Robinson getting the goal.

Stoke City have won back-to-back the Championship games. The latest was away where Sheffield Wednesday were beaten 3-0 at Hillsborough. The Potters had 46% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Million Manhoef finding the net twice and Divin Mubama bagging one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Southampton had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams, recording a 3-2 EFL Cup home win over Stoke at St. Mary's. Southampton have won two of the past 3 H2H games, with Stoke picking up one win.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Stoke	5	4	0	1	9	3	6	9:3	12
15	Southampton	5	1	3	1	6	6	0	6:6	6

View Full Table

Southampton have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 10.2 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. The Saints have averaged 46.6% possession and 3.8 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 7.3 corners from 17.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Jack Stephens is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Jay Robinson, Ryan Manning, Ross Stewart and Lesley Ugochukwu each have 1. Ryan Fraser, Damion Downs and Mateus Fernandes have the most assists with 1, while goalie Aaron Ramsdale has recorded one clean sheet.

Stoke have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. The Staffordshire side have averaged 49.1% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Million Manhoef has scored 4 goals, followed by Lewis Baker on 3 and Divin Mubama with 2. Sorba Thomas has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Southampton confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Jack Stephens, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Ryan Fraser, Shea Charles, Flynn Downes, Welington, Mateus Fernandes, Jay Robinson, Adam Armstrong.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ben Wilmot, Aaron Cresswell, Sorba Thomas, Tatsuki Seko, Lewis Baker, Bosun Lawal, Joon-Ho Bae, Million Manhoef, Divin Mubama.

Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Southampton vs Stoke, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Stoke should be highly competitive in this Championship match. On this basis, we’ll take them at 1.84 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Championship stats when making our football predictions.

Key Southampton vs Stoke league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Stoke in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Stoke in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Stoke in 3 consecutive games.

Stoke +0.75 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 54.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 1 Stoke

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of 6.75 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

Southampton Under 6.5 Corners

Southampton have been awarded an average of 3.00 corners in the past 5 home matches, while the corner count against Stoke has been less than 6.5 in the previous ten games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Southampton to fall short and you can land odds of 1.67.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Southampton

Total

11.10 3.80 7.30

Home

11.00 3.40 7.60

Away

8.00 4.30 3.70

Stoke

Total

8.60 4.80 3.80

Home

8.10 4.20 3.90

Away

9.10 4.30 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Southampton Corners

Stoke Corners

Most Corners

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Southampton vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Southampton Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

For this Championship clash, Southampton are the 1.82 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 55% chance of winning. Stoke City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at 4.00.

For those wanting an alternative, Southampton are 2.45 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Stoke being priced up at 4.25 and the draw is 2.18.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

If you’re betting on Championship matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Adam Armstrong Top of First Goalscorer List

Adam Armstrong is favourite to be First Goalscorer at 5.00 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is 2.85.

Southampton Struggling to Find Form at Home

Southampton have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Stoke have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Southampton were 3-2 victors against Stoke last time out at St. Mary's.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Southampton Home Stats		1-2-7	2.60	0.70	1.90	7	3	6	4
Stoke Away Stats		3-2-5	2.90	1.10	1.80	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Southampton vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Southampton vs Stoke before making your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and the newest injury information.

Southampton Team Page Stoke City Team Page