Toluca vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jul 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Tigres

Toluca host Tigres in this Liga MX match at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 27 July. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Toluca to Get the Job Done

There’s a strong case for siding with Toluca when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Tigres and odds of 1.90 are attractive.

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Toluca 3-0 to the Good in Previous H2H

Deportivo Toluca have won two on the spin, triumphing 4-2 in their previous game. This was on the road against Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Los Diablos Rojos had the majority of the ball boasting 55% possession and nine shots on target, while Helinho and Robert Morales scored two goals each.

Tigres UANL won their previous game, beating Juárez at home. It was a 1-0 victory at El Volcán. Guido Pizarro's team had ten shots on goal and enjoyed 66% possession, with Jonathan Herrera on target in the 69th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have avoided defeat against Tigres in the past three meetings. In their last encounter, Toluca enjoyed a 3-0 victory when hosting at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Toluca wins, two draws and three Tigres successes.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Toluca	8	5	1	2	19	11	8	19:11	16
5	Tigres	8	4	3	1	16	8	8	16:8	15

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's men have averaged 48.7% possession and 4.4 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.6 corners from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

Top goalscorer Alexis Vega has found the net 4 times, Helinho 3, with Robert Morales and two other players on 2. The leading assistor is Alexis Vega with 5.

Tigres UANL have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 0.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 55.9% possession, 5.4 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Nicolas Ibanez and Fernando Gorriaran have top scored with 2, while Jonathan Herrera is next on 1. Juan Brunetta has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Sebastian Cordova, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Mauricio Isais, Helinho, Hector Herrera, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Juan Dominguez, Paulinho.

Tigres confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Javier Aquino, Romulo, Juan Jose Purata, Jesus Garza, Diego Lainez, Juan Brunetta, Fernando Gorriaran, Jonathan Herrera, Nicolas Ibanez, Angel Correa.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Toluca vs Tigres betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Toluca to land a victory, with odds of 1.90 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Liga MX game.

Our Liga MX experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Toluca vs Tigres league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 consecutive games at home.
• Toluca have won 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• Toluca have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.

Toluca to Win Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 52.6% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You can choose an alternative if you want bigger odds about a win for Toluca. The Double Result market allows you to wager on them to lead at the halfway stage too.

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Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres

Toluca are available at 7.50 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Corners Prediction

Tigres Over 4.5 Corners

Tigres have had over 4.5 corners in four straight matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure 2.00 that Tigres go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.00 4.40 4.60

Home

8.20 4.50 3.70

Away

9.50 5.10 4.40

Tigres

Total

10.40 5.40 5.00

Home

9.90 6.00 3.90

Away

10.40 5.40 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Toluca Corners

Tigres Corners

Most Corners

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Toluca vs Tigres Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Toluca Victory

With the bookmakers affording them a 58% chance of winning, Deportivo Toluca might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are 1.71 when it comes to this Liga MX encounter. For those wanting to back Tigres UANL, you will find 4.35 about this outsider.

Toluca -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at 1.85 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Tigres. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at 1.76.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Liga MX game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Toluca Claimed Victory in Last Seven H2H Estadio Nemesio Diez Games

Toluca have gone unbeaten at Estadio Nemesio Diez in the last ten games. Los Diablos Rojos have recorded nine victories and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Tigres haven’t tasted victory in the previous five away matches. Guido Pizarro's team have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

In the last meeting at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca defeated Tigres by a 3-0 scoreline. Toluca have triumphed in seven of the previous 8 H2H meetings at Estadio Nemesio Diez, while Tigres have won once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		9-1-0	3.90	2.90	1.00	9	1	7	3
Tigres Away Stats		2-4-4	1.70	0.60	1.10	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Toluca vs Tigres Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Toluca vs Tigres team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest on injuries.

Toluca Team Page Tigres Team Page