Toronto FC vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Apr 2025

Goals at a Premium

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Toronto and New York City meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of 1.90 look really appealing.

City Claimed 3-2 Victory in Last H2H

Toronto FC won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. It was on their travels against Real Salt Lake at America First Field. Toronto had just 32% possession and recorded one shot on target, with Theodor Corbeanu netting the winner early in the first half.

New York City FC have been defeated in back-to-back away games. In their previous game, New England Revolution won 2-0 at Gillette Stadium. Pascal Jansen's side had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been three straight wins for City when playing Toronto. In the last encounter, City banked a 3-2 victory when visiting BMO Field. The past 10 H2H games have featured five triumphs for City, three for Toronto and two draws.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	NYCFC	29	15	5	9	44	35	9	44:35	50
25	Toronto FC	29	5	11	13	29	36	-7	29:36	26

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 6.1 attempts. TFC have had 43.2% possession and 3.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.5 corners.

Top scorers Federico Bernardeschi and Deandre Kerr have found the net 2 times, with Theodor Corbeanu getting 1. Federico Bernardeschi is the top assists maker on 2.

City have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Pigeons average 52.9% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 6.6 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 9.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Alonso Martinez has landed 5 goals, Hannes Wolf 3, with Keaton Parks and two others scoring 1. Julian Fernandez has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toronto FC confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Sean Johnson (GK), Raoul Petretta, Kevin Long, Sigurd Rosted, Kosi Thompson, Jonathan Osorio, Maxime Dominguez, Deybi Flores, Theodor Corbeanu, Federico Bernardeschi, Charles Sharp.

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Kevin O'Toole, Keaton Parks, Jonathan Shore, Maxi Moralez, Hannes Wolf, Alonso Martinez, Agustin Ojeda.

Toronto FC vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips

There are reasons to side with Under 2.5 Goals for this MLS match. The two sides could fall short of the line and we really like the odds of 1.90 that are available for this pick.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best predictions.

Key Toronto FC vs New York City league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 TFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 TFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 TFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 NYCFC games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 NYCFC games.

Under 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Bigger odds can be secured by going for an alternative wager where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This means you need at least one team to draw a blank for the bet to land.

Our Match Prediction

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Correct Score Prediction

Toronto 1 - 1 New York City

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of 5.80. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Corners Prediction

  New York City Over 4.5 Corners

There’s been an average 5.40 New York City corners in their past 10 games, while Toronto have conceded more than 4.5 corners in five consecutive matches. The City Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of 1.83.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toronto

Total

8.80 3.30 5.50

Home

7.90 3.50 4.40

Away

7.60 2.80 4.80

New York City

Total

12.00 5.40 6.60

Home

12.20 7.50 4.70

Away

9.50 3.60 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Toronto Corners

New York City Corners

Most Corners

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Toronto FC vs New York City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Struggling to Separate Teams

Toronto FC are 2.50 with the bookies to beat New York City FC, with the latter having betting odds of 2.80. The draw in this MLS match can be backed at 3.25.

It’s hard to split the odds between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals for this match.

Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. MLS selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.

Deandre Kerr Favourite to Find the Net First

There’s the chance to back Deandre Kerr at 5.30 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Toronto FC vs New York City Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Toronto vs City team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

We’ve got details of the MLS squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Toronto FC Team Page New York City Team Page